Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Postal Service adds 88 locales in Minnesota for possible closing

Postal Service adds 88 locales in Minnesota for possible closing

  • Article by: PAUL WALSH , Star Tribune
  • Updated: July 26, 2011 - 1:56 PM
Scores of U.S. Postal Service outlets across Minnesota are among the more than 3,600 being reviewed for closing, joining 28 others in the state that are already having their viability scrutinized.
The financially troubled Postal Service announced Tuesday that it is considering closing more than 1 in 10 of its retail outlets in offices, branches and stations. Many of those, however, may be replaced by "village" post offices in which the most common of postal services are offered in stores, libraries or government offices.
The Postal Service operates 31,871 retail outlets nationwide, down from 38,000 a decade ago. Business has declined sharply as first-class mail continues migrating to the Internet. Throw in a sluggish economy, and the result is an agency long drenched in red ink that lost $8 billion just last year.
The list released Tuesday includes 88 sites in Minnesota out of 882 total, said Postal Service spokesman Peter Nowacki.
While dots on the Minnesota map such as Alpha, Tenstrike and Vining are under the microscope, so are outlets in the biggest of cities. There are four in Minneapolis (Butler Quarter, Commerce, Dinkytown and Lowry Avenue), two in St. Paul (Riverview and Seeger Square Finance) and three in Duluth (Civic Center, Lakeside and West Duluth).
Coming under review doesn't necessarily mean an office will close. The Postal Service announced in January it was reviewing 1,400 offices for closing. So far, 280 have been closed, while 200 have survived review and will remain open.
The 28 in Minnesota placed under review earlier are: Dovray, Clements, Trail, Kenneth, Taopi, Silver Creek, Holland, Steen, Holmes City, Garden City, Puposky, Woodstock, Revere, Loman, Elrosa, Warsaw, Dalbo, Odin, Tenstrike, Hope, Peterson, Spring Lake, Bejou, Beltrami, Strandquist, Foxhome, Flom and Viking.
The additional 88 are: Alpha, Avoca, Beaver Creek, Bigelow, Conger, Darfur, Freeborn, Granada, Hardwick, Hayward, Iona, Magnolia, Millville, North Mankato, Ormsby, Pemberton, Peterson, Twin Lakes, Waltham, Kilkenny, Mendota, Riverview, St. Paul (2), Minneapolis (4), Alberta, Arco, Borup, Brooks, Burtrum, Clontarf, Comstock, Correll, Danvers, Donaldson, Dumont, Euclid, Georgetown, Hanley Falls, Hendrum, Hitterdal, Holloway, Kent, Lake Bronson, Lengby, Marietta, Naytahwaush, New Auburn, Nielsville, Norcross, Odessa, Perley, Ponemah, Ponsford, Porter, Shelly, Strathcona, Vining, Wanda, Wannaska, Waskish, Watson, Wolverton, Aldrich, Birchdale, Bock, Brimson, Brookston, Bruno, Calumet, Duluth (3), Flensburg, Fort Ripley, Grandy, Hines, Kerrick, Lake George, Makinen, McGrath, Mizpah, Squaw Lake, Taconite and Wright.

Lawmakers struggle to break stalemate in debt talks

Lawmakers struggle to break stalemate in debt talks

By Alan Silverleib and Tom Cohen, CNN
July 26, 2011 6:18 p.m. EDT

Click to play
Obama offers 'balanced' solution to debt
STORY HIGHLIGHTS
  • NEW: Conservative opposition threatens the Boehner plan in the House
  • White House: Aides will recommend a veto of Boehner's plan if Congress passes it
  • Sen. Reid's debt plan calls for $2.7 trillion in cuts and no entitlement or tax changes
  • Boehner's debt plan has spending cuts in 2011 and broader changes in 2012
Washington (CNN) -- A day after competing nationally televised speeches by President Barack Obama and House Speaker John Boehner, talks on a debt ceiling deal to avert a government default next week generated fresh hostility Tuesday amid some signs of possible movement.
While political leaders continued sniping at each other's latest proposals, conservative Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell called for renewed negotiations with Obama and indicated his party must be willing to move away from some of its demands.
"We are going to have to get back together and get a solution here," McConnell said of formal talks with the White House and congressional Democrats. "We cannot get a perfect solution, from my point of view, controlling only the House of Representatives. So I am prepared to accept something less than perfect because perfect is not achievable."
In addition, the latest Republican proposal unveiled Monday by Boehner, R-Ohio, appeared in danger of failing to get passed by the GOP-controlled House, which would weaken the party's negotiating leverage on a final deal. A vote is expected on Wednesday.
Conservatives including some House and Senate Republicans and the Club for Growth, an anti-tax group, have criticized the Boehner plan for not doing enough to tackle the nation's mounting deficits and debt.
"I'm not voting against the speaker, but I'm voting against this plan," Rep. Jim Jordan, a fellow Ohioan who heads the conservative Republican Study Committee, told CNN. Asked if Boehner had the votes to pass the measure in the chamber he leads, Jordan said: "I don't think so now."
'Congress won't give Obama blank check'
Assessing the debt ceiling fight
How could debt crisis impact you?
Where does U.S. debt come from?
In a letter to their House colleagues, a group of conservative senators harshly criticized the Boehner plan as insufficient and called on Republicans to reject it in favor of the "cut, cap and balance" plan previously passed by the House and dismissed by the Senate.
"For many reasons, we cannot support this bill and urge you to protect the American taxpayers by strongly opposing this bill," said the letter from Republican Sens. Jim DeMint of South Carolina, Rand Paul of Kentucky, Mike Lee of Utah and David Vitter of Louisiana.
Meanwhile, Capitol Hill phone lines were jammed and websites of key lawmakers -- including House Speaker John Boehner -- crashed as citizens from coast to coast tried to weigh in on the debate following Obama's call Monday night for the public to push their elected representatives to reach a deal.
The number of phone calls to House offices was about 35,000 an hour, well above the normal average of 20,000 an hour but well below the 50,000 an hour rate at the height of the health care debate, said Salley Wood of the House Administration Committee.
If Congress fails to raise the $14.3 trillion debt limit by August 2, Americans could face rising interest rates and a declining dollar, among other problems. As the cost of borrowing rises, individual mortgages, car loans and student loans could become significantly more expensive.
Some financial analysts have warned of a potential stock market crash and a downgrade of America's triple-A credit rating.
Officials also warn that without an increase in the debt limit, the federal government would not be able to pay all its bills next month. Obama recently indicated he could not guarantee that Social Security checks would be mailed out on time.
Leaders from both parties have put forward plans tying a debt ceiling increase to future spending reductions. Publicly, however, neither Democratic nor Republican leaders have indicated a willingness to consider the latest proposals put forward by their counterparts.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nevada, said Tuesday that the proposal by Boehner is a market-rattling "short-term solution" that would be "dead on arrival in the Senate, if it gets out of the House." Boehner called Reid's blueprint a "blank check" for more uncontrolled spending that would undermine the economy.
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-California, accused Republicans of trying to "undermine government" and "destroy" vital programs; McConnell, R-Kentucky, insisted Obama is "clinging" to hope for a "massive tax hike."
The latest rhetorical volleys came little more than 12 hours after Obama's nationally televised plea for compromise.
"This is no way to run the greatest country on Earth," Obama said Monday night. "The American people may have voted for divided government, but they didn't vote for a dysfunctional government."
The president also jumped into the partisan fray, ripping House Republicans for stubbornly pursuing a "cuts-only approach" that "doesn't ask the wealthiest Americans or biggest corporations to contribute anything at all."
Obama renewed his call for a "balanced approach" that would include no extension of Bush-era tax cuts for families making more than $250,000 a year, and encouraged Americans to let their political leaders know their desire for a compromise instead of the congressional stalemate.
Boehner, in turn, blasted Obama in a nationally televised response, accusing the president of engaging in a debilitating "spending binge" and pushing "tax increases (that) will destroy jobs."
Despite the poisonous partisan atmosphere, the Reid and Boehner plans remain the focal points of talks between the two parties.
Both plans provide a path to raise the debt ceiling through the end of 2012, but they differ in scope and in key components involving requirements for future congressional action.
Obama has endorsed Reid's plan, but he acknowledged it has little chance of getting passed in the GOP-led House. White House Press Secretary Jay Carney insisted on Tuesday that Boehner's plan will never clear the Democratic-controlled Senate.
Reid's blueprint calls for roughly $2.7 trillion in spending cuts over the next decade while raising the debt limit by $2.4 trillion -- an amount sufficient to fund the government through 2012, which means past next year's election.
It also would establish a congressional committee made up of 12 House and Senate members to consider additional options for debt reduction. The committee's proposals would be guaranteed by a Senate vote with no amendments by the end of the year.
Reid stressed Tuesday that his plan doesn't include tax hikes and would cut spending more than it increases the debt ceiling -- two key GOP demands.
"Every single spending cut in the proposal has already been endorsed by Republicans," Reid said. "It's everything the Republicans have demanded wrapped up in a bow and delivered to their door."
The only thing preventing a deal, Reid argued, are tea party-backed "right-wing ideologues" in the House.
Boehner, however, argued at a Monday afternoon news conference that Reid's plan is "full of gimmicks" and "doesn't deal with the biggest drivers of our deficits and debt, and that's entitlement programs." On Tuesday, McConnell argued that the Reid plan "is not a serious effort to address deficit and debt, and should be defeated."
Boehner's plan would require two separate votes by Congress to increase the debt ceiling -- which Obama and Democrats oppose -- in a package that includes approximately $1.2 trillion in spending cuts over the next decade and setting up a special congressional committee to recommend more debt reduction measures worth another $1.6 trillion or more in savings. Any failure on the part of Congress to enact the mandated spending reductions would trigger automatic across-the-board budget cuts.
This plan is "reasonable" and "responsible," Boehner said Tuesday. "We're going to have some work to do to get it passed, and I think we're going to do it."
Democrats argue that holding more than one vote to raise the debt limit through the 2012 election leaves financial markets uncertain that the same political wrangling over a deal occurring now will happen again next year.
The White House released a statement Tuesday stressing that "the administration strongly opposes" Boehner's proposal. If it reaches Obama's desk, the statement said, "the president's senior advisors would recommend that he veto this bill."
That language, while constituting a veto threat, was softer than previous documents on other issues that stated directly the president would veto the legislation involved.
Republicans want to lock in long-term tax and spending changes, and argue that Obama is trying to avoid politically tough decisions in a presidential election year.
Boehner, who is expected to win little Democratic support, pleaded with members of the House GOP caucus Tuesday morning to unify behind his proposal when it comes up for a vote as soon as Wednesday, according to two GOP sources.
"It comes down to the people in this room. It comes down to the willingness to stand together. This is the path to victory for the American people," the sources quoted Boehner as telling the meeting.
House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, R-Virginia, told the meeting he understands that "the debt limit vote sucks," and he praised Boehner's leadership, the sources said.
Cantor urged House Republicans to remain unified and call the president's bluff -- a reference to Obama's threat to veto any bill that fails to ensure a debt limit extension through the 2012 election.
As the debt ceiling debate drags on, a new CNN/ORC International Poll reveals a growing public exasperation and demand for compromise. Sixty-four percent of respondents to a July 18-20 survey preferred a deal with a mix of spending cuts and tax increases. Only 34% preferred a debt reduction plan based solely on spending reductions.
According to the poll, the public is sharply divided along partisan lines. Democrats and independents, according to the CNN/ORC Poll, are open to a number of different approaches because they think a failure to raise the debt ceiling would cause a major crisis for the country. Republicans, however, draw the line at tax increases, and a narrow majority of them oppose raising the debt ceiling under any circumstances.
Fifty-two percent of Americans think Obama has acted responsibly in the debt ceiling talks so far, but nearly two-thirds say the Republicans in Congress have not acted responsibly. Fifty-one percent would blame the GOP if the debt ceiling is not raised; only three in 10 would blame Obama.

House Republicans delay vote on Boehner debt plan

House Republicans delay vote on Boehner debt plan



House Republicans delayed a vote on their bill to lift the debt ceiling as they scrambled Tuesday night to rewrite the measure to ensure that accompanying spending cuts were large enough, according to three senior GOP aides.
The vote, originally scheduled for Wednesday, could now happen Thursday.
Gallery
Video
President Obama told Americans the nation faced a 'deep economic crisis' if Democrats and Republicans could not reach a deal on spending, urging both sides to compromise. (July 25)
President Obama told Americans the nation faced a 'deep economic crisis' if Democrats and Republicans could not reach a deal on spending, urging both sides to compromise. (July 25)
More on this Story
Video Q&A: The Fix Facecoff
Video Q&A: The Fix Facecoff
How will debt limit talks affect 2012?

House members have just seven deals to raise the debt ceiling before next Tuesday’s deadline, and the latest move came after budget analysts said the plan endorsed by Speaker John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) would only create $850 billion in government savings, rather than the sought-after $1.2 trillion.
Boehner had spent much of Tuesday furiously rallying support for his two-step plan to avert a potential default, even though Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid declared the proposal “dead on arrival” in his chamber and the White House issued a veto threat.
Senior lawmakers and aides continued negotiations aimed at finding a compromise between competing plans from Boehner and Reid (D-Nev.). But the two sides were still split over whether to hold multiple votes over the next eight months to lift the government’s debt limit or to have just one vote in the next few days that would extend the Treasury’s borrowing authority into 2013. Boehner’s plan calls for linking increases in the debt ceiling in two stages to about $3 trillion in spending cuts.
The White House expressed strong opposition to Boehner’s proposal Tuesday afternoon and threatened a veto, and Boehner also faced misgivings in his own party. About 10 House Republicans publicly declared opposition to his plan as too timid in its restraints on spending, and about nine more suggested they were leaning against the plan. Few, if any, Democrats were expected to support his plan, so the speaker could afford to lose only about two dozen of his 240 House Republicans.
Nevertheless, Reid made plans to kill off Boehner’s proposal in the event it landed in the Senate. “It’s dead on arrival if they get it out of the House,” Reid told reporters Tuesday after his own closed-door meeting of Senate Democrats.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), appearing immediately after Reid, denounced Reid’s plan to save $2.7 trillion in exchange for a commensurate elevation in the debt ceiling as “not a serious effort,” citing the Nevada Democrat’s accounting for $1 trillion in savings over the next decade through the drawdown of troops from Iraq and Afghanistan. Republicans said those were not real savings because they were already anticipated by the administration and lawmakers, even if government budget analysts officially score current budgets over 10-year periods.
This raised the stakes for the ongoing talks between Boehner and Reid as they negotiated a potentially decisive new path to a deal by an Aug. 2 deadline. The two men spoke Tuesday morning.
With a debt-limit deadline now a week away, the International Monetary Fund weighed in forcefully, warning of “serious spillovers” worldwide if the U.S. debt ceiling is not raised.


Responding to Obama’s appeal in a speech Monday night for Americans to contact their members of Congress to urge them to adopt his “balanced approach” to deficit reduction, callers flooded Capitol telephone circuits Tuesday morning, and several lawmakers’ Web sites — including Boehner’s — reportedly crashed Monday night as huge numbers of people tried to send them messages.
According to a new poll , 68 percent of Americans — including majorities across the political spectrum — now say lawmakers should compromise to strike a deal on the debt, up from 55 percent in a poll taken in April.
Gallery
Video
President Obama told Americans the nation faced a 'deep economic crisis' if Democrats and Republicans could not reach a deal on spending, urging both sides to compromise. (July 25)
President Obama told Americans the nation faced a 'deep economic crisis' if Democrats and Republicans could not reach a deal on spending, urging both sides to compromise. (July 25)
More on this Story
Video Q&A: The Fix Facecoff
Video Q&A: The Fix Facecoff
How will debt limit talks affect 2012?
In his televised address, Obama called for a compromise that reduces the deficit through both spending cuts and increased revenue, while raising the debt ceiling in one step into 2013. Speaking minutes afterward, Boehner (R-Ohio) argued for a plan that would extend the debt ceiling initially for about six months and require another vote to lift it further in 2012. Obama has vowed to veto any such short-term extension, which ratings agencies have said might not be sufficient to avert a downgrading of the United States’ AAA credit rating.
Shrugging off Obama’s efforts to appeal directly to the public, Boehner pushed not only for a House vote Wednesday on his two-stage plan, but scheduled a second vote Thursday on an amendment to the Constitution requiring a balanced budget. A balanced-budget amendment is part of a GOP plan that was approved by the House last week but voted down in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Obama had pledged to veto any such plan that reached his desk.
The House GOP leadership team, often described as fractious, showed complete unity behind closed doors and in public Tuesday. House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) told Republicans he was “150 percent” behind Boehner and his plan, according to Republicans who attended Tuesday morning’s closed-door meeting. He told Republicans to “stop grumbling and whining and to come together as conservatives” to support the Boehner proposal.
House Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), the party’s vote counter, began his talk by showing a clip from the movie, “The Town”, trying to forge a sense of unity among the independent-minded caucus.
One character asks his friend: “I need your help. I can’t tell you what it is. You can never ask me about it later.”
“Whose car are we gonna take,” the character says.
After showing the clip, Rep. Allen West (R-Fla.), one of the most outspoken critics of leadership among the 87 freshmen, stood up to speak, according to GOP aides.
“I’m ready to drive the car,” West replied, surprising many Republicans by giving his full -throated support for the plan.
However, a leading conservative lawmaker, Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), said enough Republicans appear to oppose Boehner’s plan that it would not be able to pass the House on GOP support alone.
In a speech in New York before the Council on Foreign Relations, meanwhile, Christine Lagarde, the new managing director of the IMF, urged American officials to demonstrate the kind of “political courage” she said was shown by European leaders last week in a summit that agreed on new financing for Greece and gave greater powers to a regional bailout fund.
“On the debt ceiling, the clock is ticking, and clearly the issue needs to be resolved immediately,” Lagarde said. “Indeed, an adverse fiscal shock in the United States could have serious spillovers on the rest of the world.” She said a default or downgrading of U.S. debt “would be a very, very, very serious event, not just for the United States but for the global economy at large.”
Lagarde also urged caution in adopting large deficit-reduction measures, saying that “the impact is likely to be negative” in the short term. “Our research has found that a 1 percentage point cut in the deficit could lower growth by about one-half percentage point over two years,” she said. “This is why measures that are legislated now — but only reduce deficits in the future, when the recovery is more robust — would be particularly helpful.”
Staff writers Jon Cohen and Felicia Sonmez contributed to this report.

U.S. May Have Way to Cover Bills After Deadline, for a Week

July 26, 2011

U.S. May Have Way to Cover Bills After Deadline, for a Week

WASHINGTON -- It turns out that the federal government is sitting on some extra cash.
Thanks to an inflow of tax payments and maneuvering by the Treasury Department, the government probably can continue to pay all of its bills for several days after Aug. 2, providing potentially critical breathing room for Congress to raise the debt ceiling, according to estimates by several Wall Street banks and a Washington think tank.
The consensus is that the government won’t run short of money until Aug. 10, when it would be unable to cut millions of Social Security checks without borrowing more money.
President Obama has described Aug. 2 as a “hard deadline” for Congress to increase the maximum amount that the government is allowed to borrow.
“We have to do it by next Tuesday, Aug. 2, or else we won’t be able to pay all of our bills,” Mr. Obama told the nation in his speech on Monday night.
Jay Carney, the White House spokesman, reiterated that position on Tuesday.
“That’s not a guess. That’s not a political opinion," Mr. Carney said. “It is the judgment of career analysts at the Treasury Department. We give up our borrowing authority without action by Congress. And the result of that risks default for the United States for the first time in our history.”
That description, however, conflates two distinct events.
The government will exhaust its ability to borrow more money on Aug. 2, which is equivalent to maxing out a credit card. But there will still be cash in the federal wallet.
Some Republicans have expressed skepticism about the Aug. 2 deadline, describing it as an artificial line drawn by the administration for political reasons. Analysts emphasize, however, that the deadline is real; it’s just the date that’s inexact.
“Should policy makers wait till Aug. 10 to come to an agreement? If they can agree sooner, absolutely not. There are no definites in this case,” analysts for Barclays Capital wrote in a note to clients titled “Is August 2 really ‘August 2?' ”
Analysts also said that all of the estimates, including those from Treasury, are necessarily inexact, because they rely on variables like incoming tax payments. That means that each passing day without a deal increases the risk that money will run out.
“This is more like predicting the weather than predicting the sunrise,” said Jay Powell of the Bipartisan Policy Center, a nonprofit in Washington that has analyzed the issue.
There are other risks in waiting. Treasury must continue to repay debts as they come due, then borrow the same amounts anew. Officials are concerned that it will become harder to find investors for United States government securities, and that remaining buyers will demand higher interest rates.
Treasury plans to auction about $87 billion in short-term securities next Monday and Tuesday. The following week it plans to hold a much larger auction of long-term debt.
All told, the government plans to borrow almost $500 billion in August. If interest rates climb by even a tenth of a percentage point, the annual cost would rise by $500 million.

The Republican Wreckage

July 25, 2011

The Republican Wreckage

House Republicans have lost sight of the country’s welfare. It’s hard to conclude anything else from their latest actions, including the House speaker’s dismissal of President Obama’s plea for compromise Monday night. They have largely succeeded in their campaign to ransom America’s economy for the biggest spending cuts in a generation. They have warped an exercise in paying off current debt into an argument about future spending. Yet, when they win another concession, they walk away.
This increasingly reckless game has pushed the nation to the brink of ruinous default. The Republicans have dimmed the futures of millions of jobless Americans, whose hopes for work grow more out of reach as government job programs are cut and interest rates begin to rise. They have made the federal government a laughingstock around the globe.
In a scathing prime-time television address Monday night, President Obama stepped off the sidelines to tell Americans the House Republicans were threatening a “deep economic crisis” that could send interest rates skyrocketing and hold up Social Security and veterans’ checks. By insisting on a single-minded approach and refusing to negotiate, he said, Republicans were violating the country’s founding principle of compromise.
“How can we ask a student to pay more for college before we ask hedge fund managers to stop paying taxes at a lower rate than their secretaries?” he said, invoking Ronald Reagan’s effort to make everyone pay a fair share and pointing out that his immediate predecessors had to ask for debt-ceiling increases under rules invented by Congress. He urged viewers to demand compromise. “The entire world is watching,” he said.
Mr. Obama denounced House Speaker John Boehner’s proposal to make cuts only, now, and raise the debt ceiling briefly, but he embraced the proposal made over the weekend by the Senate majority leader, Harry Reid, which gave Republicans virtually everything they said they wanted when they ignited this artificial crisis: $2.7 trillion from government spending over the next decade, with no revenue increases. It is, in fact, an awful plan, which cuts spending far too deeply at a time when the government should be summoning all its resources to solve the real economic problem of unemployment. It asks for absolutely no sacrifice from those who have prospered immensely as economic inequality has grown.
Mr. Reid’s proposal does at least protect Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security. And about half of its savings comes from the winding down of two wars, which naturally has drawn Republican opposition. (Though Republicans counted the same savings in their budgets.)
Mr. Boehner will not accept this as the last-ditch surrender that it is. The speaker, who followed Mr. Obama on TV with about five minutes of hoary talking points clearly written before the president spoke, is insisting on a plan that raises the debt ceiling until early next year and demands another vote on a balanced-budget amendment, rejected by the Senate last week. The result would be to stage this same debate over again in an election year. Never mind that this would almost certainly result in an immediate downgrade of the government’s credit.
We agreed strongly when Mr. Obama said Americans should be “offended” by this display and that they “may have voted for divided government but they didn’t vote for a dysfunctional government.” It’s hard not to conclude now that dysfunction is the Republicans’ goal — even if the cost is unthinkable.

Preparing for worst as debt-limit talks drag on

Preparing for worst as debt-limit talks drag on

With debt-ceiling deal elusive, investors look for hiding places, and find precious few

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IBM183.700.00
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, On Monday July 25, 2011, 6:28 pm EDT
NEW YORK (AP) -- Scrambling to protect themselves against a U.S. default, investors are buying gold and foreign currencies, using derivatives to bet on a stock market collapse and taking out complicated insurance policies.
They may want to consider crossing their fingers.
If the United States suddenly stiffed its creditors, the impact would be so widespread, complex and unpredictable that it is next to impossible to shield against steep losses, experts say.
A default could cause turmoil in the stock and bond markets, plus a replay of the fear that froze lending in the depths of the 2008 financial crisis. In the chaos, investments you'd think were a sure bet to fall might rise instead, and vice versa.
Consider the assets at the heart of the crisis -- Treasury bonds. You would expect interest rates on Treasurys to rise the closer Washington gets to missing a debt payment. Investors would demand higher rates because of the greater risk they wouldn't get their money back. After Argentina defaulted in 2002, foreign lenders required higher rates.
But some bond traders are betting the opposite will happen. They think nervous money managers could rush into Treasurys if Washington blows past the Aug. 2 deadline to raise the debt ceiling. The buying would push interest rates lower.
The logic behind this seemingly illogical reaction: Treasurys are widely traded around the world, with plenty of buyers and sellers ready at a moment's notice, a quality known as liquidity. Investors like that, especially in a crisis, and may overlook fears of missed payments.
Gifford Combs, a portfolio manager at Dalton Investments, which manages $1.3B in assets, has been buying short-term Treasury bills for this reason. But he concedes he's not sure what could happen in the event of a default.
"If there is a financial meltdown and panic, you don't know where investors will go," he says.
A second reason to like Treasurys: A default could help sink the economic recovery. Dan Greenhaus, chief global strategist at brokerage BTIG, thinks Washington is likely to continue paying interest on its bonds, keeping creditors happy even if it means gutting other government spending. The massive drop in government spending would then drag down the economy. And when economic growth looks grim, traders turn to Treasurys.
"No matter what happens, Treasurys are still the safe haven," Greenhaus says. "No other market is as large or as liquid."
Some investors are hoping high-quality corporate bonds serve as a backup safe haven. Wilmer Stith, the portfolio manager of the $3 billion MTB Intermediate-Term Bond Fund, has been buying bonds of companies like IBM and Microsoft that have strong balance sheets and high credit ratings.
Others are seeking protection in credit default swaps, the insurance policies that pay off if a company or country defaults on its debt. The cost of buying protections against a U.S. default has been rising fast, reflecting high investor demand.
To insure $10 million worth of Treasurys for a year, investors now have to pay almost $50,000 -- double what it would have cost them just two months ago. That's about what it costs to insure an equal amount of bonds issued by Russia.
As with bonds, stocks could be thrown into turmoil in a default.
To help protect his clients, Stuart Speer, a financial adviser at Heritage Advisors in Overland Park, Kan., has bought "puts" for shares that track two stock indexes -- the Standard & Poor's 500 and the Dow Jones industrial average.
The "puts" give him the right to sell those shares in the future at roughly today's prices. So if stocks tumble on a U.S. default, his clients can buy shares at low prices, sell them for the locked-in higher prices and pocket the difference. Those profits will help offset any losses they face from their own stock holdings.
Speer thinks the odds of default are slim -- but he's still worried. "If the U.S. defaults, it could be a calamity," he says. "People will lose confidence in the markets."
Here are some other indicators to watch in the coming days for clues on how investors are getting ready for a U.S. default.
-- Treasurys: How will you know if China, the largest foreign holder of Treasurys, loses faith in the U.S. government? Bond yields will leap. The main Treasury to watch is the 10-year note. Its yield acts as a floor for mortgages and other lending rates throughout the economy. Everybody has been watching for signs of panic, but the market has remained calm so far, responding instead to worries that the economy is slowing down. The yield has hovered below 3 percent since June.
-- Gold: Investors are piling into gold on fears of a U.S. default, pushing the metal on Monday to $1,612 per troy ounce. But unlike a lot of metals, including silver and copper, there are few commercial uses for gold. That makes it difficult to guess just how much it really is worth, and whether the price rally will continue. But its high price is a good indicator of how scared people are.
-- Stocks: Concerns about the debt ceiling haven't hampered the stock market yet. The Dow Jones industrial average twice jumped by more than 100 points over the last week thanks to strong corporate earnings from Microsoft, IBM and Coca-Cola. But most market analysts think a deal will be reached and haven't laid out a strategy in case it's not. "I don't know how you could trade this in the short run except for waiting for greater clarity," says Jonathan Golub, chief market strategist at UBS.
-- Mutual funds: Everyday investors do not appear to be making drastic changes to portfolios. In the week of July 13, the last week of data available, investors pulled $4.1 billion out of funds that invest in U.S. stocks, according to the Investment Company Institute. Investors pulled $4.5 billion the week before, continuing a pattern of selling that dates back to May. Bond investments followed the same pattern. Investors moved $4.8 billion into bond funds in mid-July, a slight decrease from the $6.1 billion put into bonds the week before.
-- Currencies: Monty Guild, head of Guild Investment Management in Los Angeles, says he's trying to protect clients by buying currencies issued by countries that have been more prudent with spending. His top choices: Singapore dollars, Canadian dollars, Brazilian reals and Australian dollars. The bet is that as the U.S. struggles to pay its debts, more investors will put money in these countries, lifting the value of the currencies.

Monday, July 25, 2011

Norway shooting: Glenn Beck compares dead teenagers to Hitler youth

Norway shooting: Glenn Beck compares dead teenagers to Hitler youth

Glenn Beck, the leading Right-wing American broadcaster, has prompted outrage after comparing the teenage victims of the Utoya Island massacre to the Hitler Youth.

Glenn Beck, the leading right-wing American broadcaster has prompted outrage after comparing the teenage victims of the Utoya Island massacre to the Hitler Youth.
Beck's controversial statements have made him one of the most divisive figures in US politics 
Beck said that the Labour party youth camp on the island, where 68 people were murdered, bore "disturbing" similarities to the Nazi party's notorious juvenile wing.
Beck, a multimillionaire darling of the Tea Party movement, said on his nationally-syndicated radio show: "There was a shooting at a political camp, which sounds a little like, you know, the Hitler youth. I mean, who does a camp for kids that's all about politics? Disturbing."
Torbjørn Eriksen, a former press secretary to Jens Stoltenberg, Norway's prime minister, described the comment as "a new low" for the broadcaster, who has frequently been forced to apologise for offensive remarks.
"Young political activists have gathered at Utoya for over 60 years to learn about and be part of democracy, the very opposite of what the Hitler Youth was about," he told The Daily Telegraph. "Glenn Beck's comments are ignorant, incorrect and extremely hurtful."
The Coalition to Stop Gun Violence, a Washington-based campaign group, said the remark by Beck, a free agent after being forced out of the Fox News channel earlier this year, was "absolutely disgusting".
Beck's controversial statements and conspiracy-filled rants have made him one of the most divisive figures in US politics and media in recent years.
Last year he said he regretted calling Barack Obama a "racist" with a "deep-seated hatred for white people or the white culture". He later apologised for mocking Mr Obama's young daughter Malia.
In February he apologised to Reform Judaism, a group that campaigns for the modernisation of the Jewish faith, after comparing them to "radicalised Islam".
But he refused to apologise in May after mock-vomiting on his live TV show following a cancer-awareness advert starring a nude Meghan McCain, the daughter of Senator John McCain.
Beck said that Miss McMcCain, whose father survived cancer before running for the US presidency, should "wear a burka" because she was apparently unattractive.
Despite Beck expressing surprise that political movements would hold camps for children, followers of his 9/12 Project – which aims to "recapture the spirit of the day after America was attacked" – have this summer been doing just that.
Organisers of the "vacation liberty schools" in several states told the Daily Telegraph how they taught children as young as eight a Tea Party-endorsed curriculum spanning religion, economics and political principles.