Sarah Palin's resignation as Alaska governor sets off speculation

Sarah Palin's resignation as Alaska governor sets off speculation

Some expect her to run for president; others believe the surprise move will finish her politically.
By Mark Z. Barabak

4:28 PM PDT, July 3, 2009

Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin announced Friday that she was quitting her job at the end of the month -- unleashing a torrent of speculation about her plans, motivation and the political wisdom of such a seemingly confounding decision.

Speaking from the backyard of her lakefront home in Wasilla, Alaska, Palin suggested that she would remain active in national politics.

"We know we can effect positive change outside of government," she said in making the announcement, flanked by her husband, Todd, and members of their family.

Many took that to mean a full-fledged run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012, without the encumbrance of her office and the difficulty of navigating a national campaign from thousands of miles away.

But the fact that Palin, 45, will vacate the Alaska governor's office without finishing her one four-year term or bolstering her thin political resume -- which was a detriment during her 2008 vice presidential bid -- led some analysts to suggest the move would badly damage any future political aspirations.

"I always thought after the race what she needed to do was go back to Alaska and be substantive, show she's got a grasp of government and work for the good of the folks back home," said Stuart Rothenberg, an independent campaign analyst in Washington. "This seems to be the exact opposite."

Palin experienced a meteoric rise after Sen. John McCain of Arizona plucked her from relative obscurity to serve as his running mate. She was a smash hit at last summer's Republican National Convention. But her image suffered after a series of unsteady campaign appearances.

She remains a favorite of social conservatives, who traditionally have exerted strong influence over the GOP nomination. But Palin draws a visceral contempt from many Democrats, political independents and even some Republicans -- among them some McCain advisors who bared their sentiments, anonymously, in a recent unflattering article in Vanity Fair magazine.

Palin seemed to allude to those attacks at her impromptu news conference Friday. "You are naive if you don't see a full-court press from the national level picking away a good point guard," said Palin, who was famously aggressive in her days as a high school basketball star.

She spoke in that cryptic fashion throughout her appearance Friday, saying her decision to step down had been some time in the making, although she never clearly spelled out why.

"Many just accept that lame-duck status and they hit that road. They draw a paycheck. They kind of milk it. And I'm not going to put Alaskans through that," Palin said.

She said her successor, Lt. Gov. Sean Parnell, would be sworn in at the governor's picnic in Fairbanks later this month. He was among those stunned by her move; Parnell said he only learned of Palin's decision Wednesday evening.

"It's a gob-smacking, jaw-hit-the-ground total kind of surprise," said Ivan Moore, an independent political pollster in Anchorage who said Palin was a strong favorite to win a second term had she run next year.

As for any presidential ambitions, "I can't see how this move helps her," Moore said. "In fact, quite the opposite. I think it's terribly damaging."

Not everyone agreed.

Scott Reed, a veteran GOP strategist who is unaffiliated with any of the 2012 prospects, said that leaving the governorship would give Palin a chance to rebuild and recast her image.

"It allows her to have a brand-new day -- a fresh start -- and she can shake all those cobwebs from the last campaign and her term as governor and start over," Reed said.